Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.258351 1.536486 1.891464 2.390641 3.097089 4.099866 5.711423
2025-02-16 0.856760 1.144523 1.566146 2.270135 3.515822 5.885733 11.683786
2025-02-23 0.686195 0.974028 1.438694 2.323168 4.215394 9.024347 29.092661
2025-03-02 0.589402 0.876370 1.376431 2.439147 5.148644 14.558818 103.309780
2025-03-09 0.510350 0.783948 1.287632 2.451113 5.877390 21.944130 602.393154
2025-03-16 0.441531 0.693068 1.173646 2.350615 6.211405 29.678458 19393.590839
2025-03-23 0.405946 0.654255 1.150994 2.462404 7.449660 53.718691 NaN
2025-03-30 0.370540 0.608932 1.102537 2.483804 8.423760 93.756753 NaN
2025-04-06 0.336001 0.559653 1.034022 2.418113 8.952045 150.453036 NaN
2025-04-13 0.308192 0.519715 0.978475 2.371016 9.582349 269.791600 NaN
2025-04-20 0.297468 0.512646 0.998223 2.582943 12.426860 1828.622981 NaN
2025-04-27 0.283698 0.497133 0.993868 2.712378 15.237592 892854.857255 NaN
2025-05-04 0.264930 0.469089 0.953555 2.693903 16.860712 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.245059 0.436562 0.896245 2.585343 17.325296 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.233562 0.421208 0.882203 2.656788 20.672110 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.225241 0.411918 0.882971 2.798953 26.450997 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.214120 0.394974 0.859000 2.813878 30.450745 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.200624 0.371257 0.811763 2.692129 30.729810 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.194625 0.364464 0.813213 2.827697 40.185692 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.186597 0.352060 0.795743 2.853709 47.438011 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.177063 0.335237 0.762294 2.773936 49.875145 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.168772 0.320783 0.734374 2.716851 53.585414 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.166910 0.321789 0.755310 2.974427 86.827018 NaN NaN